Colombia VS Chile Prediction
Competition in the CONMEBOL’s (South American) 2018 FIFA World Cup qualifiers will be renewed on Thursday afternoon (evening in Europe), 10 November 2016, when Colombia welcomes champions of last two Copa América editions – Chile. It will be second encounter between both nations in 2016 and it comes less than five months after the Copa America Centenario semi-final, which has been marked by a 2-0 win for Chile at the “Soldier Field” in Chicago. That was the penultimate step for Juan Antonio Pizzi’s men before their final triumph over Argentina, but “La Roja” definitely needs to carry-over more from those efforts into the World Cup qualifying campaign, since their position on the upcoming finals in Russia looks pretty questionable. Distance between Colombia and Chile is only a point, but both sides are very well aware teams like Argentina and Paraguay breathe in their neck, so they must show serious improvement in the remaining 2018 World Cup qualifying rounds.
Colombia vs Chile – Team News and Match Preview
Besides aforementioned Copa America fixture, Colombia and Chile have already played their first qualifying duel which was almost one year ago (12 November 2015) – 1:1 draw at the “Estadio Nacional” in Chilean capital Santiago. Arturo Vidal has opened the score for Chile in closing seconds of the first half, but James Rodriguez restored the draw in middle of second 45 minutes. This remains the only qualifying draw for Chile so far and “La Roja” currently hold the fifth position (playoff spot), having won 16 points after 5 wins and 4 draws in 10 games.
“Los Cafeteros” are with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, securing 17 points for for José Pékerman’s side, which places Colombia on the fourth position. Thus Colombia can make a vital step here, especially if we consider that all top contenders have direct matches on matchday 11 – Ecuador (3rd) faces Uruguay (2nd), while Brazil and Argentina will meet in another massive game later on Thursday evening. In certain circumstances Colombia may use the opportunity to move closer to the top positions.
Of course, same thing is valid for Chile and both sides have really serious arguments to claim the full set of points out of that game.
Colombia vs Chile – Betting Prediction and Possible Lineups
Colombia failed to win in previous three games vs Chile, leaving their last success against “La Roja” back in the 2014 FIFA World Cup qualifiers – 1-3 win in Santiago. That happened four years ago (11 September 2012) when Gary Medel has been sent-off in first half of the match, but however, Chile opened the score after a goal by midfielder Matias Fernandez. Jose Pekerman’s selection has responded with a proper approach in second half of the game, when James Rodriguez, Falcao and Teo Gutiérrez found their names on the score sheet. This remains only success for Colombia in their last seven games against Chile.
This time Colombians are keen to benefit from the home advantage and we all know how vital it can be, especially in South American football. It’s not surprising that “Los Cafeteros” have won 10 of their 17 points at home and Jose Pekerman can rely to the motivation of his players here.
Cristián Zapata, Alexander Mejía, Teófilo Gutiérrez and Adrián Ramos are the most notable names who did not receive a call up by the Argentine coach, but we find decent options on all positions in Colombian squad. Zapata’s absence isn’t something new and Pekerman already started with a centre-back duo including names of Jeison Murillo (Inter Milan) and Yerry Mina (Palmeiras), as latter competes with Eder Álvarez Balanta (FC Basel) for a starting position. Ajax’s summer signing Davinson Sánchez can also be an option here, but we believe that Balanta and Mina are closer to be first option in that moment.
Colombia’s attacking potential is also out of question where we have names like Juan Cuadrado, Edwin Cardona, James Rodriguez, Luis Muriel, Carlos Bacca and of course – Falcao. AS Monaco’s striker is back in the Colombia squad after returning to form with its club team, but we expect Carlos Bacca to lead Colombian attack here.
James Rodriguez, who missed last World Cup qualifying round through injury, returns in contention and he looks ready to spark.
Chile plays really successful against Colombia in last couple of years and despite mentioned defeat from September 2012, “La Roja” can boast with four wins from their last seven meetings. However, Chile are not so convincing in their away qualifiers, losing in three out of five. This includes last two visits from September and October, respectively in Paraguay (2-1) and Ecuador (3-0), so Juan Antonio Pizzi’s men are definitely showing typical continental mentality to feel much better at home. Of course, their summer journey to the USA makes an exception and that centennial Copa America success was something remarkable, but Chile must move on and defend its status as one of the South American representatives in the last World Cup in Brazil.
Bad news for Juan Antonio Pizzi are related with name of Arsenal’s striker Alexis Sanchez, who has picked up a muscle injury in training. This leaves Chile without their sharpest attacker and most likely they’ll start with a duo up front, formed by names of Eduardo Vargas and Nicolas Castillo.
Final conclusion and Betting Prediction
We think Colombia will find way to score more than Chile and take its revenge for the semi-final defeat in the USA. In fact “Los Cafeteros” have lost only once in their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers and have kept seven clean sheets in that period. Solid home record which may boost Colombia’s confidence before that crucial game – our bet goes for a home win (1X2 Betting): Colombia will grab all the points from Chile.
Venue: “Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez”, Barranquilla.
Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio from Brazil.
Possible starting lineups of Colombia and Chile
Colombia: David Ospina – Santiago Arias, Jeison Murillo, Yerry Mina, Frank Fabra – Abel Aguilar, Carlos Sanchez – Juan Cuadrado, James Rodriguez, Luis Muriel – Carlos Bacca. (4-2-3-1)
Chile: Claudio Bravo – Mauricio Isla, Gary Medel, Gonzalo Jara, Jean Beausejour – Marcelo Díaz, Charles Aránguiz, Arturo Vidal – Pablo Hernandez – Eduardo Vargas, Nicolás Castillo. (4-3-1-2)