Benfica vs FC Porto Prediction, Preview, Lineups & Betting Tips
The most important Primeira Liga showdown this season is set to take place at the “Estádio da Luz” in Portuguese capital Lisbon where Benfica and FC Porto meet in what is expected to turn into a title decider on Sunday night, 15 April 2018.
“Eagles” from Lisbon have won their last nine Primeira Liga fixtures and are one point clear of FC Porto at the top of the table with five games left to play. Benfica are undefeated at home (13 wins in 14 games) in the league this season, only dropping points on one occasion – 1-1 vs city rivals Sporting CP on 3 January this year. It has been followed by six consecutive wins at home turf in which Benfica has scored 21 goals and conceded just once. Brazilian veteran Jonas scored 9 of these 21 goals and now has 33 league goals in overall.
FC Porto have lost two of their last four matches and they both were on the road – 0-1 vs Pacos de Ferreira and 0-2 vs Belenenses. Dragons are now in second position and cannot afford to lose in Lisbon as they would be four points adrift of top spot with as many games remaining. They would settle for a draw here to stay in touching distance of Benfica, although victory would be preferable. Anyway, Sergio Conceicao’s men can rely on fact that Benfica have an upcoming visit to rivals Sporting CP next month, where the Eagles can conceivably slip, while the game against Benfica will be Porto’s last derby with another one from The Big Three in Portugal, at least on league level. They have an upcoming visit to Sporting CP (Portuguese Cup) on Wednesday night, however league is definitely a priority.
Find out the possible starting lineups of Benfica and FC Porto, as well as our betting prediction with the best betting odds available on the selected market.
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs FC Porto – Prediction and Betting Tips
- Benfica are league winners for the last four seasons.
- Porto’s last Primeira Liga trophy was won in the 2012–13 season. Benfica finished on a point behind.
- Benfica are unbeaten in their last 37 home matches in the Primeira Liga. Their last home defeat came exactly against Porto: 1-2 on 12 February 2016. It has been followed by 33 wins and 4 draws.
- Benfica have scored at least 2 goals in their last 9 league games.
- Eagles have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- Porto have won 13 of their last 16 Primeira Liga games.
- Dragons have scored 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 10 Primeira Liga matches.
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in FC Porto’s last 4 games (Liga NOS). The last “over” was a 2-1 home win vs Sporting CP last month.
Benfica Team News
Jonas was ruled out of Benfica’s last round trip to Setubal but his replacement Raul Jimenez did extremely well and scored twice for the 2-1 win. If Jonas is fit enough he should start on Sunday night, otherwise Raul Jimenez will once again lead the Benfica attacking line. Meanwhile, midfielder Filip Krovinovic is the only confirmed 100% absentee of the home side.
Left-back Alex Grimaldo undergo a special training regime to recover in time for the derby. He was substituted by Eduardo “Toto” Salvio who entered in closing part of the match against Vitoria Setubal and will compete with Rafa Silva for a place on the right wing. Franco Cervi, as one of the most constant players, seems to be with no alternative on the left wing. Rui Vitoria will hardly switch formations exactly in this clash so expect a 4-3-3 from Benfica.
FC Porto Team News
FC Porto’s medical staff will do their best to recover the top goalscorer Moussa Marega (20 goals in 24 league games), who has not played since the 2-1 win over Sporting CP on 2 March. If the Malian forward is fit enough to start, Sergio Conceicao may set a 4-2-3-1 formation with Marega and Yacine Brahimi on both wings. If this happens, Otavio is expected to play more centrally, behind the striker, while Sergio Oliveira and Hector Herrera will build up the central midfield duo, where defensive midfielder Danilo Pereira is still unavailable due to an Achilles tendon rupture.
Porto’s boss might as well stick to the 4-4-2 with both Vincent Aboubakar and Tiquinho Soares up front. Thus Otavio will push from the right side of Porto’s midfield and no matter what happens – Brahimi will attack from left.
Our experts recommend betting on the goal scoring markets here. It’s really difficult to predict the final winner of this clash, even though Benfica play at home, so that’s why our analysts fancy the option for both teams to score: “Both teams to score – Yes“.
Possible Starting Lineups of Benfica and FC Porto
Venue: “Estádio da Luz”, Lisbon.
SL Benfica: Bruno Varela – Alejandro Grimaldo, Jardel, Ruben Dias, Andre Almeida – Pizzi, Ljubomir Fejsa, Andrija Zivkovic – Franco Cervi, Jonas, Rafa Silva. (4-3-3)
Missing players – Filip Krovinovic is injured. Alejandro Grimaldo and Jonas are both doubtful.
FC Porto: Iker Casillas – Maxi Pereira, Ivan Marcano, Felipe, Alex Telles – Sergio Oliveira – Otavio, Hector Herrera – Ricardo Pereira, Tiquinho Soares, Yacine Brahimi. (4-1-2-3)
Missing players – Danilo Pereira is injured, Moussa Marega is questionable.