Genoa VS AS Roma Prediction
Roma have won eight of their last nine meetings with Genoa and they aim to another, when both sides will meet on Sunday afternoon. The Italian Calcio returns in action after a short break and The Giallorossi must resume the Scudetto chase, although Juventus are with four points lead and one game less. Actually Genoa is the reason why Bianconeri have “only” four points ahead Roma right now, since last Serie A defeat for Juventus was exactly at the “Stadio Luigi Ferraris”. This surely turns on the red light for visitors from Rome and Luciano Spalletti must take into consideration the strong home form shown by The Rossoblu so far.
Genoa vs AS Roma – Team News and Match Preview
Genoa returns at home after two defeats in last two 2016 Serie A fixtures, in which Rossoblu suffered a surprising defeat by Palermo, followed by a narrow loss in Torino. In fact, a 3-4 loss by Palermo was first at home for Genoa and it has been preceded by 4 wins and 4 draws. We must also highlight that Genoa conceded only 4 goals in these previous 8 Serie A home games, as for comparison they have doubled this record after losing from struggling Sicilian visitors. However, Genoa has reasons to be pleased by previous results at home and we can note prestigious wins like already mentioned 3-1 against Juventus, as well as 3-0 vs AC Milan and 1-0 vs Fiorentina.
Meanwhile, Roma can be inspired by their positive performances against Genoa in last few years, which also includes four successive wins. Last meeting between both clubs was in closing weeks of the 2015-16 season, when Roma won 2-3 at the same venue. The Giallorossi made a comeback from 2-1 in closing part of the match, when Francesco Totti and Stephan El Shaarawy found their names on the score sheet.
Few months later Roma will kick-off 2017 with hopes to put Juventus under higher pressure, so only victory in Genoa will do the work for “The Roman Wolves”. They have lost in a direct encounter against Juventus, which was their last away game for 2016, but a 3-1 win against Chievo came on time to boost Roma’s Christmas spirit.
Genoa vs AS Roma – Betting Prediction and Possible Lineups
Genoa and coach Ivan Juric in particular are those who have more to worry about. Former Croatian footballer of “Il Grifone” was appointed for Gian Piero Gasperini’s replacement in summer of 2016 and his first managerial season in the Serie A has been marked by some inconsistency. Despite all solid home results, Genoa often shows symptoms of fatigue, mostly in their second-half performances. Failure against Palermo is finest example for that as The Rossoblu were leading 3-1 in 65th minute, but like we said final score was 3-4 and it cost them first home defeat.
Short winter break during festive period in Italian football has been frustrating for Ivan Juric, who must find replacements of two important players. Venezuelan central midfielder Tomas Rincon and Italian striker Leonardo Pavoletti have been sold respectively to Juventus and Napoli, whose absences carry serious questions. But that’s not all – Portuguese midfielder Miguel Veloso will miss out due to injury, while Serge Gakpe is with his nation Togo at the 2017 Africa Cup of Nations.
Under these circumstances Genoa’s lineup looks really predictable and Ghanaian Isaac Cofie will most likely start next to Luca Rigoni in heart of the midfield. And if we assume Ivan Juric will stick to a 3-4-2-1 formation, with solid centre-back trio featuring names of experienced captain Nicolás Burdisso, as well as of Armando Izzo and Ezequiel Muñoz, Genoa’s attack should be filled by youngsters trio. It contains names of Lucas Ocampos and Nikola Ninkovic, who are expected to start from second position, and top scorer Giovanni Simeone seems to be fired-up to the challenge of leading Genoa’s attack.
The 2017 Africa Cup of Nations seriously hits attacking potential of AS Roma, since Egyptian forward Mohamed Salah is on duty. His absence on the right wing should be covered by another player with Egyptian roots – Stephan El Shaarawy. In the meantime, former Genoa attacker Diego Perotti should be under the spotlights, as he enjoys to a decent career in club from Rome.
Except unavailable Salah, Luciano Spalletti cannot rely to injured duo – Thomas Vermaelen and Alessandro Florenzi. Thus most likely Bruno Peres and Antonio Rüdiger are both who should be wide defenders, while Kostas Manolas and Federico Fazio should form the centre-back duo. Of course, if Spalletti starts with a 4-2-3-1 formation here.
Final conclusion, Betting Odds and Prediction
Roma have been determined for the favourites not only because of their general Serie A positioning, but due to both outgoing transfers in Genoa. This places The Rossoblu and coach Ivan Juric in a really unpleasant situation, but they don’t have nothing to lose. Indeed, Genoa holds 13 points above Palermo (18th), so they are far away from the relegation zone, but as well as on serious distance from positions securing European football. If we can say so, Genoa is in the “golden middle”, where Ivan Juric’s men can play mostly for their honour.
On other hand Roma must hope Juventus will make a wrong step, but they should also keep an eye on all other challengers. Napoli, Lazio and AC Milan all breathe in Roma’s neck, so their top 3 positioning should be a priority at this moment.
All these arguments push the pressure entirely over Roma, which should be the main ace for Genoa here. Our betting prediction is also based on some pretty spectacular fixtures between Genoa and AS Roma in past years, so we will once again pick “Both teams to score & Over 2.5 Goals“.
Genoa traditionally shows higher intensity at home and fact that Roma are not so stable in defense, especially away from home, is another good reason why we expect goals on Sunday afternoon.
Venue: “Stadio Luigi Ferraris”, Genoa.
Referee: Nicola Rizzoli.
Possible starting lineups of Genoa and AS Roma
Genoa CFC: Mattia Perin – Armando Izzo, Nicolás Burdisso, Ezequiel Muñoz – Darko Lazovic, Isaac Cofie, Luca Rigoni, Diego Laxalt – Lucas Ocampos, Nikola Ninkovic – Giovanni Simeone. (3-4-2-1)
AS Roma: Wojciech Szczesny – Bruno Peres, Federico Fazio, Kostas Manolas, Antonio Rüdiger – Kevin Strootman, Daniele De Rossi – Diego Perotti, Radja Nainggolan, Stephan El Shaarawy – Edin Dzeko. (4-2-3-1)