Bayern Munich VS RB Leipzig Prediction
Let’s rewind the tape with only few months, back to mid-August for example, and then ask ourselves – who would have thought that first ever Bundesliga encounter facing Bayern Munich and a newly promoted RB Leipzig could be a first-place decider? Furthermore, clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig is set to take place in round 16 of the 2016-17 Bundesliga season, 21 December 2016, which is an evidence for a superb form and consistency shown by “The Red Bulls” from Leipzig, who will travel to Bavarian capital with certain aspirations to spoil Bayern Munich’s holiday spirit. Indeed, if RB Leipzig achieve another marvelous result and win forthcoming derby on Wednesday night, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side will welcome Christmas, New Year and start its preparation for second half of the season on top of the table, while “Bavarians” will have to live with an unbelievable reflection that someone puts their domestic hegemony under serious threat. Even if game ends with a draw and Bayern retains its first position due to better goal difference they hold, Carlo Ancelotti won’t be particularly pleased by fact his team won’t be able to gain advantage, so we can easily presume such a scenario absolutely suits to expectations of RB Leipzig. Of course, winning a point from a visit at the “Allianz Arena” can always be considered for quite an achievement and despite all efforts so far, Ralph Hasenhüttl perfectly realizes that Bayern Munich is the major favourite in their competition.
Not only when it comes to Wednesday’s fixture, but generally, Bayern Munich owns the quality and required squad depth to be constant on both fronts – domestic (Bundesliga and the DFB-Pokal) and European. We all know “Reds” from Bavaria are always tempted by opportunity for winning the UEFA Champions League and perhaps that was the main reason why “Carletto” has been the chosen one for Pep Guardiola’s replacement, who failed to justify the international expectations of Bayern Munich’s board and “Bavarians” have been eliminated in three consecutive semi-finals, losing by a Spanish La Liga opposition in each of them.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig – Team News and Match Preview
After five consecutive victories, keeping a clean sheet in last three occasions, Bayern Munich will be keen to maintain its winning run at the “Allianz Arena” where their last loss dates early in March, when they surprisingly lost 1-2 to Mainz 05. It was one of their only two Bundesliga defeats last season, but however, Bayern’s main competitor back then (Borussia Dortmund) couldn’t show enough consistency and Pep Guardiola’s side was pretty determined about winning its 26th Bundesliga trophy. Months later Carlo Ancelotti finds itself in much delicate situation and it’s reasonably to assume that experienced Italian manager never thought he must deal with such a solid resistance exactly in RB Leipzig’s face.
Well, reality in the 2016-17 German Bundesliga season calls for some extra attention in Bayern Munich’s last game during calendar 2016 and The Bavarians will be glad to return at home. Carlo Ancelotti’s side had a difficult match at the “Jonathan-Heimes-Stadion am Böllenfalltor” in Darmstadt on Sunday afternoon, when a stunning strike by Brazilian winger Douglas Costa came in closing quarter of the game and thus he brought all three points to Bayern Munich.
On previous day, Saturday afternoon – 17 December, RB Leipzig played their last home match in 2016 and it has been marked by another success. “The Red Bulls” were victorious at the “Red Bull Arena” where after a 2-0 victory against fourth-placed Hertha BSC (at least before round 16), Ralph Hasenhüttl has shown us he controls the situation and his team got back on track after an unexpected 1-0 defeat in Ingolstadt last weekend. This was the eleventh triumph for RB Leipzig which carries unquestionable confidence, composure and triggers some hopes even for a final triumph in May 2017, but even if this doesn’t happen, “The Red Bulls” can find only positives in their debut Bundesliga campaign. Especially if they qualify for the 2017-18 UEFA Champions League season, which looks absolutely possible and RB Leipzig can boast up with having 9 points more from teams of Hoffenheim and Hertha BSC (3rd and 4th), as well as 10 points more compared to Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt (5th and 6th).
A truly outstanding performance for a newly promoted side and Ralph Hasenhüttl can be delighted by overall efforts and improvement of his players, who are thriving in a team with second lowest average age (24 years) among all Bundesliga sides. Only Bayer Leverkusen is with younger squad (average age of 23.6 years) while Bayern Munich is club with highest average age in top tier of German football – 27.8.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig – Betting Prediction and Possible Lineups
Regardless of all positives in victory over “The Old Lady” from Berlin, RB Leipzig must handle with a selection woe. Besides already injured defenders Kyriakos Papadopoulos, Marvin Compper and Lukas Klostermann, Ralph Hasenhüttl had to make two substitutions with names of key players in match against Hertha. Leipzig’s left-back Marcel Halstenberg and central midfielder Naby Keita have been forced out through injuries, which makes their participation here doubtful and it may call for replacements. In case they fail to recover on time, Bernado may replace Halstenberg and Benno Schmitz (who came on Halstenberg’s place in the weekend) should operate on right side of RB Leipzig’s defense. Gap left from an eventual absence of Keita can be filled by captain Dominik Kaiser. which looks more likely in the moment because the 21-year-old Guinean midfielder need to recover from a pulled hamstring.
All those news hint for some defensive issues and conceivable reorganizations in the away side, but their attacking formation looks prepared to upset another reputable opposition. Players like both wingers – Emil Forsberg (5 goals, 8 assists) and Marcel Sabitzer (4 goals, 3 assists), as well as RB Leipzig’s attacking duo Yussuf Poulsen and Timo Werner (top scorer with 9 goals), are eager to contribute for another outstanding result of the only East German representative in the Bundesliga.
On other hand all home side players are pretty well-known to the football community and they do not need any additional introduction here, since they have already left serious impressions in order to make it to Bayern Munich’s first-team.
Carlo Ancelotti could switch to a 4-2-3-1 formation he used in a 5-0 success over Wolfsburg 10 days ago, which will move Thomas Müller behind Robert Lewandowski and it will open space for two wingers. Douglas Costa and Franck Ribery are competing for position on the left flank, while Arjen Robben could return from injury to start on the right wing.
Rotations up front will cause some changes in midfield as well, where Ancelotti will probably start with two vigorous players in face of Arturo Vidal and Thiago Alcântara, which means experienced Xabi Alonso should remain on the bench.
Meanwhile injured central defender Jérôme Boateng will be replaced by Javi Martínez and captain Philipp Lahm is ready to return in the starting XI, since he was rested and replaced by Rafinha against Darmstadt.
Final conclusion, Betting Odds and Prediction
We have a situation where Bayern Munich have been settled for clear favourites by the bookmakers, with odds varying between 1.36-1.50 in different sports betting operators. However, we cannot find any value in such a bet in a derby between top two sides with pair of points, although Bayern is trademark in German football. Our betting prediction is influenced by currently suggested odds on “Both teams to score”, which represents decent value in our opinion.
Wonderful teamwork, pace, stamina and endless running ability of RB Leipzig are few good arguments why we believe “The Red Bulls” can show their horns and score at least once into Manuel Neuer’s goal. Of course, all defensive issues may cause some difficulties to the away team and this should ease creation of scoring chances by Bayern Munich as well. We have pointed out few good reasons why adding of “Both teams to score – Yes” into your betting slip (or why not a single?) may bring you some financial profits and we sincerely believe that option can be beneficial in that game. Not to mention fact we’re speaking about German Bundesliga and attacking mentality there is not a secret for nobody…
Venue: “Allianz Arena”, Munich.
Referee: Felix Zwayer.
Possible starting lineups of Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich: Manuel Neuer – David Alaba, Mats Hummels, Javi Martinez, Philipp Lahm – Arturo Vidal, Thiago Alcântara – Douglas Costa, Thomas Müller, Arjen Robben – Robert Lewandowski. (4-2-3-1)
RasenBallsport Leipzig: Peter Gulacsi – Bernardo, Stefan Ilsanker, Willi Orban, Benno Schmitz – Diego Demme, Dominik Kaiser – Marcel Sabitzer, Emil Forsberg – Timo Werner, Yussuf Poulsen. (4-2-2-2)