Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Prediction, Preview, Lineups, H2H:
Real Madrid ended Atletico Madrid’s UEFA Champions League ambitions in each of previous three campaigns, including the finals in Lisbon (2014) and in Milan (2016). The 2016-17 UEFA Champions League season provides Real Madrid a chance either to make it four in a row or to finally experience Diego Simeone’s rage. Argentine boss of Atletico Madrid is surely determined to outwit his French opponent and besides all star names in both squads, another duel facing El Cholo vs Zizou will be significant for one of the two spots that guarantee a position at the 2017 UEFA Champions League Final in Cardiff.
Last duel between Simeone and Zidane was less than a month ago (1-1 draw on 8 April 2017) when Antoine Griezmann’s late equalizer won a point for Atleti, since Pepe opened the score in opening second-half minutes.
H2H Stats: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid have won four out of all seven “El Derbi Madrileño” editions on European stage and apparently “The Merengues” are one of the worst possible enemies crossing Atletico’s road.
After the 1958/59 European Cup semi-finals, both UEFA Champions League finals (2014, 2016) and the 2014/15 quarter-finals, overall balance from the Madrid ties is exclusively in Real’s favour: three wins, three draws and losing once only in 90 minutes football. However, two of the draws have turned into remarkable achievements in the aforementioned UEFA Champions League Spanish finals – popular as La Décima and La Undécima, thus improving Real Madrid’s record as the most successful club in European club football.
Champions League: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid 02.05.2017
Real Madrid keep on moving with hope to become the first team to successfully retain its UEFA Champions League title. Their bid went through strong sides like Napoli and Bayern Munich in previous elimination rounds, while “The Blancos” finished second in the group phase. Nevertheless, Real Madrid aims to win either the Spanish La Liga trophy and the UEFA Champions League, which can be an outstanding accomplishment for a generation of terrific footballers in the squad. Everything looks very likely at that moment and although being second with same number of points alongside rival Barcelona, Real Madrid has yet one game more to play and a winning streak in remaining four La Liga rounds will legitimize all efforts given throughout the season.
“Los Colchoneros” are not involved in domestic title contention which makes their Champions League quest an absolute priority. But that’s not the only reason since a passionate personality like Diego Simeone will be extremely fired up to revenge after all the pain suffered in last three years. Speculations about his Madrid future are not something new and even if there is something realistic out there, it makes the inspiration greater. Sounds like an additional reason why “El Cholo” should be even more keen to lift the Champions League trophy with a battleworthy crew he built at the “Vicente Calderón” from 2011 to nowadays. All lost UEFA Champions League ties with Real are unquestionably leaving an open wound for Atletico and Diego Simeone in particular.
Match Preview: Team News, Squads and Missing Players
Zinedine Zidane must use the home El Clásico loss as a perfect source to demand more concentration by his lads. Fact that he gave a chance to some backup players in following 2-6 win over Deportivo in La Coruña only few days after losing to Barcelona hints about Zidane’s intention to rotate the squad, if necessarily. Moreover, great attacking performance from James Rodriguez, Lucas Vazquez, Isco, Alvaro Morata and Marco Asensio came right on time and legendary French playmaker can be delighted by the his squad depth he can choose from as a coach.
Three days after a high-scoring display vs Deportivo, Real Madrid returned at “Santiago Bernabéu” to take on Valencia on Saturday night. Well, the Saturday night was not so productive for Real’s attack but most important is they have won the whole set of points, despite Valencia’s answer in the 82nd minute. Dani Parejo netted the ball and made the result 1-1 which could have been a huge disappointment for “The Merengues”, since Cristiano Ronaldo missed to score a penalty earlier. Thankfully Brazilian left-back Marcelo was once again brilliant and he scored the winner in 86th minute.
A difficult but even more important weekend victory for Real Madrid in a game where Zidane used his optimal starting XI. We can expect the same formation with Raphaël Varane or Nacho next to Sergio Ramos and James Rodriguez featuring in the attacking trio. Meaning that Gareth Bale will miss out and he is not the only injury for Real right now. Experienced Portuguese defender Pepe, who scored Real’s goal in last Madrid Derby, also recovers from injury and is sidelined.
We all know or at least have few ideas in mind what type of football and aggression to expect from Atleti in both legs. Especially if result from the first round is pleasing for them, but they need to fight for it in a first place.
Diego Simeone’s men can be boosted by a five-star journey to the Canary Islands where on Saturday night Atleti won 0-5 vs Las Palmas. That score was the most efficient for Atleti in 2017 and it came after goals by four different names – Kevin Gameiro (two goals), Saúl Ñíguez, Fernando Torres and Thomas Partey found themselves on the scoresheet.
Positive was that Atletico showed good attacking potential after a frustrating midweek home clash vs Villarreal (lost 0-1), but there was a negative as well. Before match against Las Palmas “Cholo” already had some woeful injury concerns in defense where the right-backs Juanfran and Sime Vrsaljko were both unavailable. José Giménez is an option and plays as a right-back when he has to but the Uruguayan defender has been replaced in the 67th minute. Giménez suffered an adductor injury and is respectively doubtful for first Champions League semi-final, whose eventual absence may leave Simeone without a typical right-back. Under these circumstances Stefan Savic looks the main suspect to start as a wide-defender, whilst youngster Lucas Hernández and Diego Godín will form the centre-back duo. Latter was unavailable last weekend due to suspension so experienced Uruguayan defender will be fully fresh for derby of Madrid.
Except injuries of Juanfran, Sime Vrsaljko and José Giménez, Diego Simeone follows condition of his compatriot Augusto Fernández, who recovers from a long-term injury, as well as of Yannick Carrasco. Belgian winger picked up a collarbone injury during last week’s lose to Villarreal and was replaced by Nicolás Gaitán. Gaitán looks ready to operate through the right wing again, if Cholo decides to leave Thomas Partey on the bench. Such a move suggests that Saúl Ñíguez will help to captain Gabi in the centre and Koke will push through the left wing.
Formation up front looks crystal clear and the French duo Griezmann-Gameiro represents biggest threat of Real’s defense, but Fernando Torres should not be underestimated at any point.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Prediction
Real Madrid is considered to be a certain favourite of all bookmakers and “The Merengues” are filled by quality in every line. Alright, maybe their defense is not that relevant to overall quality in midfield and attack, but Zidane is well-aware of that and we doubt he will choose ultra-attacking approach against an opposition like its Madrid rival.
On other hand Atletico is surely interested to score at “Bernabeu” and Diego Simeone realizes the vital importance of an away goal rule.
Our football betting experts believe that odds on “Both teams to score – Yes” represent decent value. Logically, we recommend betting on that market before an upcoming UEFA Champions League semi-final between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid on Tuesday night, 2 May 2017.
Venue: “Estadio Santiago Bernabeu”, Madrid.
Referee: Martin Atkinson from England.
Possible Lineups of Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid: Keylor Navas – Dani Carvajal, Sergio Ramos, Nacho Fernandez, Marcelo – Toni Kroos, Casemiro, Luka Modric – James Rodríguez, Karim Benzema, Cristiano Ronaldo. (4-3-3)
Atletico Madrid: Jan Oblak – Stefan Savic, Diego Godin, Lucas Hernandez, Filipe Luis – Nico Gaitan, Gabi, Saúl Ñíguez, Koke – Antoine Griezmann, Kevin Gameiro. (4-4-2)