PSV Eindhoven VS FK Rostov Prediction
Two weeks after its glorious victory over Bayern Munich, FK Rostov travels to the Netherlands, where on Tuesday evening “The Selmashi” have to defend their third position in Group D of the 2016-17 UEFA Champions League. PSV Eindhoven must chase a mandatory success against Rostov if Dutch champion wants to pip its Russian opposition for the third position, which promotes its holder to the UEFA Europa League 1/16 finals. Definitely both sides are sharing same desire but only one of them can be there at the end of matchday 6, while everything else in the group looks clear and last season’s finalists Atlético Madrid are the group winners, while Bayern Munich will finish second. You can see that we had two clear favourites from the beginning, so third position seems to be the ultimate prospect for any of PSV and Rostov.
PSV Eindhoven vs FK Rostov – Team News and Match Preview
If PSV wants to avoid being Rostov’s second Dutch victim in the 2016-17 season, Phillip Cocu’s men should play only for the three points. Nothing else can help them replacing Rostov from the third place, since PSV have won just a point out of previous five Champions League group games and that was exactly against their current opposition – 2-2 draw at the “Stadion Olimp 2” in end of September.
Meanwhile, when it comes to their domestic commitment, PSV remains in shadow of its main rivals part of the “Big Three” in Dutch football. “Red and Whites” from Eindhoven are currently on third position in the Eredivisie standings, where reigning champions are on six points from Feyenoord and Ajax. Distance might be less but PSV couldn’t scored at the “Parkstad Limburg Stadion” in Kerkade on Saturday night, where they had a frustrating draw against 17th – Roda JC.
Despite having best defensive record in the league (conceded only 7 goals), PSV is also team with least scored goals (23) among all top 7 sides. Last weekend’s effort from Kerkade shows the main reason why Phillip Cocu loses domestic battle with his colleagues Giovanni van Bronckhorst and Peter Bosz so far.
Rostov could not dream for a better scenario from that which happened two weeks ago. Their 3-2 win vs Bayern Munich was not only club’s first success in a group stage game, but also the reason why “Bavarians” have lost the pole position battle with Atletico Madrid.
Head coach Ivan Daniliants can be extremely pleased from the dedication of his lads and he’ll be more than inspired for accomplishment the same thing as his predecessor, also current assistant, Dmitri Kirichenko did in August. Rostov have already slipped a Dutch team on its way to the Champions League groups – eliminating Ajax Amsterdam on the playoffs. First clash was in Dutch capital, where Rostov opened the score with a goal by midfielder Christian Noboa but Davy Klaassen restored the draw, which actually formed the final score at the “Amsterdam ArenA”. Only a week later Rostov achieved its highest ever success in the UEFA competitions, as the 4-1 against Ajax was their first home win in the Champions League at all.
In fact Rostov looks really rock-solid at home, but “The Selmashi” have serious difficulties when playing on the road, since their last away victory remains early in August – 0-2 against Anderlecht in Belgium. That was only first step of the surprising 2015-16 Russian vice-champions and a draw against PSV will be more than enough, to make their European presence even more remarkable and memorable.
After that aforementioned win on Belgian turf, Rostov have only 3 draws in 12 outings, which makes them one of the weakest away sides in Russian Premier League – having won just 2 points in 8 rounds. Overall balance of 25 points and a top-half position hints that Rostov pretty much relies on its home efforts and it’s obvious their current priority has been set towards potential European breakthrough.
PSV Eindhoven vs FK Rostov – Betting Prediction and Possible Lineups
Rostov head to the Netherlands after a goalless home draw against runner-ups Zenit Saint Petersburg on Saturday evening. It was their second game without scoring, but it won them a point from a strong opposition, just few days after a narrow midweek defeat in Ekaterinburg – 1-0 for Ural. These performances were another great example to show us Rostov home and Rostov away are two different sides, but when they have to defend, they’re doing it quite well.
Atlético Madrid experienced that when they had to wait for a late victory influenced by Antoine Griezmann, who scored twice and netted a late winner in closing seconds of Atleti’s home fixture against Rostov – 2-1 at the “Estadio Vicente Calderón” on 1 November. However, we must highlight that goal scored from Iranian forward Sardar Azmoun in that game remains only one for Rostov in their last seven away games.
Under these circumstances we don’t have any doubts about Ivan Daniliants’ approach and it’s pretty certain he’ll be loyal to the 5-3-2 formation. This contains three centre-backs, Fyodor Kudryashov at the left-back and someone among experienced vice-captain Timofei Kalachev or younger Denis Terentyev operating on the right side. Only concern of Daniliants is related with injury of goalkeeper Soslan Dzhanaev, who was initially expected to miss out, but latest rumours are he may be ready for trip to the Netherlands. Otherwise Nikita Medvedev should start under the sticks again.
PSV should improve its form and they better do it as soon as possible. Phillip Cocu’s side has only one victory in the last 6 matches and that was a 3-1 at home over ADO Den Haag, nearly 10 days ago.
Last time PSV met a Russian side was one year ago – on 8 December 2015, when they won 2-1 against CSKA Moscow. Davy Pröpper and captain-top-scorer Luuk de Jong were goal scorers against CSKA Moscow in that game, so be sure they’ll have really important role again.
This remains last win for PSV in an European competition and it came right on time to promote Dutch team towards 2015-16 UEFA Champions League 1/8 finals, where they have been knocked out by another group member – losing from Atlético Madrid on penalties.
Phillip Cocu will have to pick its starting XI without injured quartet including names of Jetro Willems, Andres Guardado, Jorrit Hendrix and Jürgen Locadia, whose absence doesn’t leave him many options on particular zones.
Final conclusion, Betting Odds and Prediction
PSV have been strongly recommended as favourites for winning the game by the bookies, which is probably inspired by Rostov’s terrifying away form. Anyway, this game will be like a final for the Russian team and they should not be underestimated at any price.
Expectations are PSV will hold the ball more and they should dictate the tempo, with purpose to score as soon as possible, but we believe Rostov may take advantage from pressure in the Dutch side. Thus we’d like to recommend betting for goals in both nets – “Both teams to score – Yes”.
PSV need to score if they’re really eager for a breakthrough, while Rostov’s positive way out from the group completely matches with prospects of a goalless draw. Despite anticipated ultra-defensive approach of the Russian team, we believe PSV’s attitude won’t predispose a game without any goals in, so we expect Rostov to catch them as well. Again – “Both teams to score – Yes“.
Venue: “Philips Stadion”, Eindhoven.
Referee: Deniz Aytekin from Germany.
Possible starting lineups of PSV Eindhoven and FK Rostov
PSV Eindhoven: Jeroen Zoet – Hector Moreno, Nicolas Isimat-Mirin, Daniel Schwaab, Santiago Arias – Davy Pröpper, Bart Ramselaar – Luciano Narsingh, Siem de Jong, Gaston Pereiro – Luuk de Jong. (4-2-3-1)
FK Rostov: Nikita Medvedev – Fedor Kudryashov, Miha Mevlja, Vladimir Granat, César Navas, Timofey Kalachev – Christian Noboa, Alexandru Gatcan, Aleksandr Erokhin – Dmitri Poloz, Sardar Azmoun. (5-3-2)