UEFA Champions League
AS Monaco - FC Porto
26 September 2017, 20:45 CET
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Monaco vs Porto Prediction, Preview, H2H & Betting Tips

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AS Monaco vs Porto prediction for Tuesday night’s big clash in Group G of the 2017-18 UEFA Champions League. After a draw in Leipzig, French champions are set for their first home game vs Porto, who travel to the Principality of Monaco after a disappointing defeat to Besiktas in opening group stage round. Read more in our detailed match preview, predictions and free betting tips.

H2H History: AS Monaco vs FC Porto

We have a replay of the 2004 UEFA Champions League when Porto won their only previous encounter against AS Monaco with a memorable score (3:0). Jose Mourinho won the managerial duel with Didier Deschamps and thus the Portuguese side lifted their second ever Champions League trophy. More than thirteen years after the final in Gelsenkirchen Monaco and Porto are set for their second ever competitive matchup where stakes are once again high and this is pretty much influenced by the high level of competitiveness in their group.

AS Monaco vs FC Porto 26 September, 2017 Tip
Asian Handicap - AS Monaco -0.5
2.12 6/10-6

Champions League: AS Monaco vs FC Porto 26.09.2017

Sergio Conceicao will surely be inspired to repeat success of Jose Mourinho’s golden years who already upset Monaco over a decade ago, as we mentioned. That happened in a period when Conceicao himself was a Porto player, although he wasn’t part of the Champions League squad. Anyway, the 42-year-old former winger enjoys his new managerial appointment and so far so good – Dragons are topping the Primeira Liga and won all games except their Champions League opener. That happened two weeks ago when Porto lost to Besiktas at Estádio do Dragão, surprisingly or not. This makes their second group game extremely important as a failure on the French Riviera can cost them too much.
Only a few months ago Les Monegasques reached the Champions League final four where they lost to Juventus. That was a great achievement by Leonardo Jardim’s men who have eliminated clubs like Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund during their path. But most importantly – Monaco were convincingly crowned as the French Ligue 1 champions having a 8-point lead ahead favourites PSG, scoring 107 goals in 38 games.
The new season starts with new hopes and despite departure of first-team players like Benjamin Mendy, Tiemoue Bakayoko, Bernardo Silva, Valere Germain, Kylian Mbappe, Leonardo Jardim has shown activity on the transfer market as well. The Portuguese, who is former coach of Porto’s domestic rival Sporting CP, strengthened the lines on lost positions as he got signatures of Diego Benaglio, Rachid Ghezzal (both on a free transfer), Terence Kongolo, Youri Tielemans, Rony Lopes, Adama Diakhaby, Keita Balde and Stevan Jovetic. Some of them are already integrated to the first-team while others are backups and must wait for their chance, since Monaco’s boss has also kept a significant part of his core.

Match Preview: Team News, Squads and Missing Players

In opening round Monaco had a bound to East Germany where Les Monegasques faced a tough challenge in face of RB Leipzig. The Bundesliga vice-champion scored first but only two minutes later Belgian wonderkid Youri Tielemans leveled the score and this shows that new signings in Monaco are already highly effective. Not to mention Falcao’s form who makes Mbappe’s absence invisible as El Tigre will be keen to extend his scoring streak against his former club on Tuesday. Colombian striker was an absolute beast in Porto and in Atletico Madrid, before joining Monaco where he revived his career after two frustrating spells in the English Premier League, respectively at Manchester United and Chelsea. Radamel Falcao even wears captain’s armband and finds in a stunning shape with 11 goals in 7 Ligue 1 games, including four goals in the last two. Last two goals were scored on Friday night when Monaco won 0:4 in Lille and Leonardo Jardim will probably make some changes in the squad.
Djibril Sidibe is expected to feature as he served a suspension and basically had a rest during last Ligue 1 round, whilst goalkeeper Danijel Subasic and forward Keita Balde both missed the game due to injuries. Good news are that Thomas Lemar made an entry from the bench and the 21-year-old winger, who is a target of several major European clubs, should be fit to start in the Champions League. Nevertheless, Jardim may decide to leave him on the bench, if necessary, as he can start with Rony Lopes/Rachid Ghezzal on both wings.
Goalkeeper Danijel Subasic has an adequate replacement in face of experienced Swiss goalkeeper Diego Benaglio, while the Montenegrin forward Stevan Jovetic forms a decent partnership with Falcao and we expect them both on top of Monaco’s preferred 4-4-2 formation.
And if Monaco can draw out some positives from a journey to Germany, Porto don’t have any excuses for the aforementioned home loss to Turkish champion Besiktas. Dragons will have a difficult dare to claim first points in this season’s Champions League in Monaco and this will be another massive test for Sergio Conceicao’s ability after a lost duel to Senol Gunes.
Positives in the Portuguese team are related with availability of all key players and fact that Porto boosted its morale with two domestic victories – 1:2 vs Rio Ave, followed by a 5:2 over Portimonense last Friday. Actually that was the most high-scoring game of Porto this season but fact they have conceded twice might as well be a worrying sign. Both goals for Portimonense came when Porto already had a comfortable leadership, but yet we must consider that Dragons have kept a clean sheet in all their games prior losing to Besiktas. Of course, we can’t compare Primeira Liga matches, especially when they’re not against either Benfica or Sporting, even Braga, with any given Champions League group stage fixture.

AS Monaco vs FC Porto Prediction and Betting Tips

Dragons fly to the Principality of Monaco for first of three consecutive away games on schedule which may be crucial for their further Champions League expectations. After a visit at the Stade Louis II, Porto should expect another challenging journey to Leipzig in mid-October, but between these two Champions League games Porto must prepare for a derby against Sporting in Lisbon on Sunday. Unquestionably a key trial for managerial abilities of Sergio Conceicao and for Porto’s readiness generally.
On the other hand Monaco have two home games upcoming on the Champions League battlefield and Les Monegasques have some serious arguments to find justice for the lost final in 2004. This goes through the prism of future expectations and willingness to establish its name as a club all others must reckon with, not only in the Ligue 1.
Monaco are unbeaten when taking on Portuguese visitors at home soil, winning two games and drawing the other. (3:0 vs Belenenses in the 1989-90 European Cup Winners’ Cup, 3:2 vs Sporting CP in the 1997-98 UEFA Champions League groups). Their most recent experience was a goalless draw with Benfica in the 2014/15 group stage and ever since Monaco have 9 wins, 2 draws and only 2 defeats in 13 Champions League home games.
Our betting prediction is related with the superb home form of Monaco and mostly by fact they have a person like Leonardo Jardim. He is the one who can win this encounter and we believe Monaco have the right man for this job – Jardim should outwit Conceicao and Monaco will defeat Porto. Place a bet on the home side, using the Asian Handicap -0.5 for a greater value.

Possible Lineups of AS Monaco and FC Porto

Venue: “Stade Louis II”, Monaco.

Referee: Slavko Vincic from Slovenia.

AS Monaco: Diego Benaglio – Djibril Sidibe, Kamil Glik, Jemerson, Jorge – Rachid Ghezzal, João Moutinho, Fabinho, Thomas Lemar – Stevan Jovetic, Falcao. (4-4-2)

Missing players – Danijel Subasic, Loïc Badiashile, Keita Balde (doubtful).

FC Porto: Iker Casillas – Maxi Pereira, Felipe, Ivan Marcano, Alex Telles – Jesus Corona, Hector Herrera, Danilo Pereira, Yacine Brahimi – Moussa Marega, Vincent Aboubakar. (4-4-2)

Missing players – Andre Andre.


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September 24, 2017 | Last Updated: September 26, 2017