Porto vs Besiktas Prediction, Preview, Lineups, H2H & Betting Tips
Porto vs Besiktas betting prediction for Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League Group G opening round in Portugal. Porto looks solid and ready to continue their flawless form in the season with a Champions League victory over Besiktas. Main question is – can they? The odds are against Besiktas but we’ve seen many surprises in Europe’s most reputable football competition. Read more about the clash in our match preview, free predictions and betting tips.
Head-to-head History: Porto vs Besiktas
Both clubs already share a common history on Europe’s football mainstream. Porto have won three and drawn once of their four competitive meetings with Besiktas, including two games in the UEFA Europa League and two more in the Champions League.
Last time when Porto and Besiktas met was to share a point (1:1) at the “Estádio Do Dragão” in the 2010-11 Europa League group stage. It was the first positive score for the Turkish team against Porto as they have lost three times before, scoring just once.
UEFA Champions League: Porto vs Besiktas 13.09.2017
Porto and Besiktas find themselves in a very balanced group alongside other ambitious clubs like RB Leipzig and Monaco. This makes every game even more meaningful for final positioning as there isn’t a clear favourite, neither an underdog.
As is often the case in Portugal, Dragons lost some of their prospects who have moved into other leagues. Talented midfielder Ruben Neves made a surprising move to the English Championship side Wolverhampton Wanderers, while defender Bruno Martins Indi joined Stoke City on a permanent deal, being previously loaned on a season-long deal. Porto’s goalscorer Andre Silva, who scored 21 goals in 44 games last season, was one of the numerous signings made by AC Milan this summer and his departure leaves the Dragons with not so many attacking options.
Oliver Torres is the “new signing” in Porto but the Spanish midfielder isn’t quite new to the atmosphere as he already had two previous loans at the “do Dragão”.
Meanwhile, Sérgio Conceição has been appointed as a replacement of Nuno Espírito Santo who failed to justify all expectations over him in the past year. Conceição enjoys a great beginning of the new campaign as Porto sits on top of the Primeira Liga with 15 points won out of 15 possible and without a goal in their own net, having 12:0 goal difference after five rounds.
Besiktas made a Champions League group stage comeback after a seven year absence last season. Now “The Black Eagles” are flying back to the Europe’s finest after winning the Turkish Süper Lig for a second successive year. Moreover, their title defense goes well as Besiktas shares the peak with Istanbul rivals Galatasaray after first four rounds, having won 10 points out of 12 possible (3 wins, 1 draw), which all came after a surprising defeat to Konyaspor in the Turkish Super Cup match.
The Istanbul club strengthened its lines with some experienced names like Pepe, Jeremain Lens, and Alvaro Negredo. Thus Senol Gunes has more options in all zones and his squads looks ready to attack the Champions League knockout stage, which was almost accomplished last year before a devastating 6:0 loss to Dynamo Kiev, influenced by a controversial referee decision early in the game.
Match Preview: Team News, Squads and Missing Players
Porto’s defensive vitality so far this season has admittedly been impressive, and it’s one of the aces they have shown can be transferred to the Champions League too. The Dragons have kept a clean sheet in six of their last 14 home games in the competition, winning in any of them. Their failures to keep a clean sheet were against major teams as Bayern Munich, Juventus, Chelsea, Roma, but there are a few against other not so dynamic squads.
Now Porto will have to transfer its domestic performance on the international scene once more and boss Sérgio Conceição has some concerns about two positions. One is related with the right-back where Maxi Pereira is suspended and Ricardo Pereira/Miguel Layun are the two possible options to replace experienced Uruguayan defender. The Cameroonian forward Vincent Aboubakar, who spent last season on loan with Besiktas, is also suspended. It’s interesting to note that Aboubakar has been sent off twice with Besiktas last year – vs Dynamo Kyiv and vs Olympiacos, respectively in the Champions League and the Europa League. In this case Moussa Marega is expected to partner Tiquinho Soares up front, unless Conceição doesn’t have a different game plan and more defensive approach with one typical striker.
Besiktas travelled to Portugal without injured defender Atinc Nukan and winger Gokhan Tore. In the meantime Senol Gunes follows situation around two of his full-backs Adriano and Gokhan Gonul, who are both doubts. If Gonul fails to recover on time captain (in Tolga Zengin’s absence) Necip Uysal can be repositioned as a right-back, while Caner Erkin looks favourite for the left-back role.
There is serious competition for all positions in the Turkish side. Tolgay Arslan and Atiba Hutchinson compete for a central midfield position where Oğuzhan Özyakup looks a sure starter. Former Porto player Ricardo Quaresma and Jeremain Lens are both options who can start on the right wing, although Quaresma looks favourite to start at home soil. On the other flank situation looks quite predictable and there aren’t many doubts about Ryan Babel’s involvement as the Dutchman shows pretty decent form since his move to Besiktas earlier in 2017.
Brazilian Talisca and Cenk Tosun are the other two anticipated starters in Besiktas’ attack, but summer signing Alvaro Negredo can have another chance to start instead the latter.
Porto vs Besiktas Prediction and Betting Tips
To be honest, we are extremely surprised on current odds and don’t believe that Porto has to be considered for such a favourite. Truly, Porto and Portuguese teams are generally stable at home turf, but their current roster is far from the best years when Porto had solid defense but also a lethal attack. So far situation looks well but we can’t compare domestic league wins over Estoril, Tondela, Moreirense and Chaves, with an upcoming Champions League fixture against Besiktas. Furthermore, Turkish teams always pull their best effort in these type of games and we expect them to end Porto’s defensive form.
We don’t want to make any predictions or conclusions who will be the final winner here but Senol Gunes is surely a coach who knows how to squeeze best potential out of his players, while Sérgio Conceição still has a lot to learn about big games. Porto’s balance over Turkish teams is really positive (6 wins, 2 draws), but situation here is different and odds for a home win don’t represent any value in our eyes. That’s why our betting prediction goes on the goal scoring markets and we will place a bet on: “Both teams to score – Yes“.
Possible Lineups of Porto and Besiktas
Venue: “Estádio do Dragão”, Porto.
Referee: Anthony Taylor from England.
FC Porto: Iker Casillas – Miguel Layun, Felipe, Ivan Marcano, Alex Telles – Jesus Corona, Oliver Torres, Danilo Pereira, Yacine Brahimi – Tiquinho Soares, Moussa Marega. (4-4-2)
Besiktas JK: Fabri – Necip Uysal, Pepe, Dusko Tosic, Caner Erkin – Oguzhan Özyakup, Atiba Hutchinson – Ricardo Quaresma, Talisca, Ryan Babel – Cenk Tosun. (4-2-3-1)