Sunderland vs Burnley Betting Prediction, H2H, Preview & Lineups 18.03.2017
Nothing new under the sunlight as Sunderland is once again deeply involved in the relegation battle and “The Black Cats” will have to fight for their English Premier League status when Burnley arrives at the “Stadium of Light”. This will be the fourth encounter facing Sunderland against Burnley in the 2016-17 season and second in the Premier League, where both sides have previously met on 31 December 2016.
H2H Stats – Sunderland vs Burnley: First 2016-17 Premier League fixture between both clubs took place on the last day of 2016 when Burnley achieved a memorable 4-1 win at its “Turf Moor”. Andre Grey scored a hat-trick for “Clarets” in space of only 22 minutes and Ashley Barnes scored a penalty to make 4-0, while the usual suspect Jermain Defoe has scored a consolation goal for Sunderland.
Aforementioned EPL encounter has been followed by another one just a week later when Sunderland and Burnley have met in a regular FA Cup game. After a goalless draw at the “Stadium of Light”, Burnley staged its replay and did a double over Sunderland – 2:0 on 17 January 2017. Andre Gray once again found his name at the score sheet against Sunderland as he scored second goal for “Clarets” in the 83rd minute, minutes after he came on the field. In the meantime Sam Vokes opened the score in closing first-half minutes and thus Burnley eliminated Sunderland out of the 2016-17 FA Cup.
This leaves the bitter taste for Sunderland but we highly doubt that David Moyes is so affected by a lost FA Cup duel, when his club “confidently” hits the bottom of the Premier League standings. However, “Clarets” are one of the relatively preferable opponents of Sunderland in that moment as the “Black Cats” have won their previous four league home matches against Burnley. In that number we find two Premier League games and two in The Championship.
English Premier League: Sunderland vs Burnley 18.03.2017
Sunderland played just four games in period February-March and this seriously reduces club’s match practice. For comparison Burnley have played six games in the same term but they simply cannot pull out any inspiration out of it.
Last win of “The Black Cats” was on 4th of February when David Moyes was winner in a managerial duel against Sam Allardyce and Sunderland surprised everybody with four first-half goals in Crystal Palace’s net at their own “Selhurst Park”. Unfortunately of everyone in Sunderland their victory over Crystal Palace been followed by three consecutive defeats in which David Moyes’ men failed to score and conceded eight goals. In that negative streak they have two home defeats (0-4 vs Southampton, 0-2 vs Manchester City) and an away defeat from Everton (2-0) in end of February. Last game of Sunderland was on 5 March when they lost 0-2 to Man City and after a two week gap in their workload Sunderland returns at home.
Meanwhile, latest home win of Sunderland dates before Christmas when they won 2-0 vs Watford on 17 December 2016. Thereafter Sunderland couldn’t won in six occasions and drew only twice in five EPL games. The other one was an already mentioned 0-0 draw vs Burnley in a cup game.
It won’t be a lie if we say that is one of the last good chances for eventual revival of Sunderland as they have less than 20 points won (19) out of 27 games. Indeed, Sunderland is with one game less compared to some other relegation contenders but this doesn’t change anything since “The Black Cats” are on six points from the safe line.
Burnley heads to the English North East in a poor form but the overall efforts of Sean Dyche’s men have already won them some safety. Anyway, “Clarets” should not waste it as they won only two points in last five Premier League rounds. Even if one from these points was against Chelsea at home, Burnley still is the worst away side in the Premier League and Sean Dyche must work more on that.
Burnley are very solid at home where they scooped 29 out of overall 31 points they have, meaning they have just two draws in 14 visits. Surely a devastating away form and an upcoming journey to one of the weakest home teams can be a fine opportunity if Burnley wants to win a match away from home.
In fact match against Sunderland on Saturday afternoon is the fourth successive game on the road Burnley takes as two of them were against other struggling sides. First of all Burnley stole a point from Hull City and it was their second point away from the “Turf Moor” after a surprising 0-0 draw at the “Old Trafford” from end of October. Next stop was Swansea City where “The Swans” made a full comeback from 1-2 to 3-2 with a stoppage time winner by Fernando Llorente.
One week after losing in Swansea, Burnley had a visit in Merseyside where “Clarets” had a lovely chance to slip Jürgen Klopp’s Liverpool but instead of making it, Liverpool accomplished a comeback from 0-1 to 2-1 on its “Anfield”.
Match Preview: Team News, Squads and Missing Players
Sunderland have 11 games remaining to repeat scenario from last years when “The Black Cats” have found the right path in closing weeks of the season. That’s why an upcoming home match vs Burnley can be from such an importance as the worst away team arrives in town.
Stakes are growing up if we mention that Sunderland have two visits in next two rounds (vs Watford and Leicester City), which makes significance of their home match even greater.
Under these circumstances we won’t be surprised if David Moyes takes a decision to transform Sunderland’s formation and return to the 3-5-1-1 used in team’s last win. For that reason he will need three fully fit central defenders and Jason Denayer should be recalled in the starting XI. Young Belgian defender is still doubtful but expectations are that he should be fit and play from the outset.
Sunderland’s boss still can’t rely on injured Paddy McNair, Lee Cattermole, Duncan Watmore and Victor Anichebe , whilst Jan Kirchhoff, Darron Gibson and Steven Pienaar are all questionable.
Burnley is eager for first victory away from home or at least for another point, so we don’t expect any rotations within a selection used by Sean Dyche in Liverpool last weekend. He sticks to the 4-4-2 formation and Burnley’s manager doesn’t show any intention of changing it.
Good news for Burnley are related with name of Belgian midfielder Steven Defour who recovers but still is “touch and go” according to Sean Dyche’s words. However, Icelandic winger Johann Berg Gudmundsson is surely ruled out and he remains in list of injured players alongside central midfielder Dean Marney. Latter should be once more replaced by veteran Joey Barton.
Sunderland vs Burnley Betting Prediction
That game can turn into a season saver or at least a glimmer of hope to Sunderland who definitely walk on thin ice in last few campaigns. If David Moyes doesn’t find a way to earn the whole set of points against a team which is so clueless away from home, then we can’t find more better chances for “The Black Cats”.
We will take a risk and place a bet on the home side. Sunderland should finally win at home and they can hardly find other so suitable opposition than Burnley. Our expectations are that Adnan Januzaj and Jermain Defoe will inspire such an outcome, especially second one, who just received a call-up for the English national team to face Germany and Lithuania, but first of all Defoe should contribute for a resurrection of his club team.
Venue: “Stadium of Light”, Sunderland.
Referee: Robert Madley.
Possible Lineups of Sunderland and Burnley
Sunderland AFC: Jordan Pickford – Jason Denayer, John O’Shea, Lamine Kone – Bryan Oviedo, Jack Rodwell, Didier Ndong, Sebastian Larsson, Billy Jones – Adnan Januzaj – Jermain Defoe. (3-5-1-1)
Burnley FC: Tom Heaton – Stephen Ward, Ben Mee, Michael Keane, Matthew Lowton – Robbie Brady, Jeff Hendrick, Joey Barton, George Boyd – Ashley Barnes, Andre Gray. (4-4-2)