Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe Prediction, Preview and Betting Tips
Botev Plovdiv hosts to Beroe on Tuesday, 28 November 2017, in a regional derby between two of the most successful Southern Bulgaria clubs at the “Sporten kompleks Botev 1912”. This is a direct encounter for the fourth position in the Bulgarian First League, where hosts from Plovdiv are currently fifth with 27 points won out of 17 games, while guests from Stara Zagora are fourth, having three points more. Find out what our experts have to say in a detailed match preview, prediction and more football betting tips.
H2H History: Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe
The clash between Botev Plovdiv and Beroe Stara Zagora represents a long-lasting rivalry between teams from two of the major Bulgarian cities, both located in Southern Bulgaria. Distance between Plovdiv and Stara Zagora is around 100 kms and it can be easily covered through the Trakia highway.
“The Battle for Trakia”, like some people are calling it, will take place for the 97th time on a league level. Botev Plovdiv holds a slim advantage having 37 wins against 34 in Beroe’s favour, with 25 draws for the period. The overall goal difference is also on their side – 151:124, and the balance in Plovdiv is: 28 home wins, 11 draws and 8 wins for the visitors from Stara Zagora, with goal difference 91:38.
“The Canaries” from Plovdiv have won their last two home games vs Beroe – 2:0 and 3:0, respectively, but the most recent two matches were in Stara Zagora where Beroe won 2:1 at the end of season 2016-17, while their first encounter in the new First League campaign has ended without a winner – 1:1 on 13 August.
Bulgarian First League: Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe 28.11.2017
A potential victory today will be a brilliant outcome for both sides as the three points will climb up Beroe to the third position, at least for awhile, but if Botev wins, then “The Canaries” will replace them from the fourth place.
Botev Plovdiv returns at home after a third consecutive 1:1 draw early on Saturday afternoon when Nikolay Kirov’s men failed to maintain, neither to increase their lead against Septemvri Sofia. It has been preceded by two more games against opponents from Sofia – vs Slavia at home and vs runner-ups CSKA in Sofia, when Botev once again opened the score after a successfully executed penalty by Todor Nedelev, as it happened last Saturday as well.
Despite these three draws in a row, Botev Plovdiv remain unbeaten in 11 consecutive games – since a 2:1 defeat to Ludogorets in Razgrad.
On the other hand we have visitors from Stara Zagora who are doing really well in the past weeks and travel to Plovdiv with 13 points won out of the last 5 rounds. Simple mathematics calculates they have 4 wins and only 1 draw in that period, keeping a clean sheet in all victories, including the last two matches – 0:1 vs Pirin in Blagoevgrad, as well as a 2:0 win over Slavia Sofia on Saturday afternoon.
Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe Preview: News, Squads and Missing Players
Botev Plovdiv seeks first three points since an away win over Pirin (1:2) in end of October, but we should also keep in mind that four of their last five matches were away. The only home match in that period was against Slavia, where the “golden substitution” Steven Petkov has scored his fifth goal to level the score in second half of the match, while central defender Plamen Dimov has been sent-off. This has ended Botev Plovdiv’s streak of four consecutive home wins.
Now coach Nikolay Kirov hopes to extend that unbeaten run but this time with a win. Plamen Dimov already served his one-game suspension and was back on the field against Septemvri, so Botev Plovdiv’s coach has no any injury or suspension worries. All key players are ready for battle and the only likely rotation is on the left wing where Daudet N’Dongala should replace Gustavo Affonso. Another possible replacement can be at the back, but only if Nikolay Kirov decides to rest the 37-years-old Yordan Minev and starts with either Lazar Marin or Krum Stoyanov.
Beroe head to Plovdiv without two players who have both picked up their injuries in last round’s win against Slavia. First of all Romanian winger Dragos Firtulescu got injured after less than 15 minutes and has been replaced by Serbian Marko Adamovic, who left the field injured as well, later in the game. So Firtulescu and Adamovic are both injuries in Beroe but coach Aleksandar Tomash welcomes the right-defender Milen Zhelev back in the group after missing the last round due to suspension – yellow card accumulation.
Milen Zhelev should return at the right-back and he will most likely start at the expense of Pavel Vidanov. Another rotation should happen in Beroe’s midfield where the Japanese Kohei Kato looks favourite to start alongside Carlos Ohene and Martin Raynov, since Adamovic did not traveled with the squad. Borislav Tsonev can be an option as well but expectations are he will stay on the bench and that’s pretty reasonable considering Aleksandar Tomash’s philosophy. He is not the coach who demands attractiveness by his players and often prefers pragmatic football.
Botev Plovdiv vs Beroe Prediction and Betting Tips
Botev Plovdiv and Beroe are set for one of the most intriguing games in the Bulgarian First League round 18’s schedule.
Nikolay Kirov criticized the defensive efforts of his team and we highly doubt he had enough time to work on that aspect in the two days between both matches. Such a short period can be used only for recovery and we don’t expect some major changes in Botev’s mentality here, although they can be one idea more cautious since Beroe will most likely wait to hit on counter-attacks.
However, Botev Plovdiv needs the three points as they have an upcoming weekend journey to Varna (vs Cherno More) and under certain circumstances in the next two rounds, “The Canaries” can even be dropped out of top-six. Top scorer Fernando Viana (9 goals) hasn’t scored in the last four games and he will be keen to end his goal drought on Tuesday, especially when he knows he has been closely followed by the Turkish Süper Lig side Sivasspor. Viana and Todor Nedelev are two key-players who have a habit to score against Beroe and we can expect more sharpness in Botev’s attack here, with N’Dongala in the starters.
“The Greens” from Stara Zagora shouldn’t be underestimated at all as they have seven (six in the league) wins and one defeat (from Ludogorets) only in 10 away games this season. Indeed, Beroe does very well on the road and that’s thanks to a fine overall contribution – solid defending, great work by the central midfielders Raynov and Ohene, as well as the attacking presence of players like winger Pedro Eugenio (6 goals) and veteran Martin Kamburov (5 goals), who is a club legend of Botev’s city rival – Lokomotiv. Kamburov scored the only goal for Beroe in three consecutive games before the win against Slavia where he didn’t score, and is surely one of the suspects to cause serious issues of Botev Plovdiv’s defense here. In fact, names of Eugenio and Kamburov are sitting behind 11 of all 19 goals scored by Beroe this season.
Our betting prediction goes on the goal scoring markets – “Both teams to score – Yes“. We find enough arguments in the mentality of both teams but in a few words – Beroe are better away from home, while Botev is the team with worst defense (22 goals conceded) among all top-seven sides.
Possible Lineups of Botev Plovdiv and Beroe
Venue: “Sporten kompleks Botev 1912”, Komatevo, Plovdiv.
Referee: Stefan Apostolov.
Botev Plovdiv: Ivan Cvorovic – Yordan Minev, Plamen Dimov, Radoslav Terziev, Tsvetomir Panov – Serkan Yusein – Daudet N’Dongala, Felipe Brisola, Lachezar Baltanov, Todor Nedelev – Fernando Viana. (4-1-4-1)
Beroe Stara Zagora: Dusan Pernis – Milen Zhelev, Kamen Hadzhiev, Ivan Ivanov, Matheus Leoni – Carlos Ohene, Martin Raynov, Kohei Kato – Pedro Eugenio, Martin Kamburov, Anton Karachanakov. (4-3-3)